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There is no certainty of an AI winter, let alone of it's harshness. Quantum computing and quantum machine learning are here and they could sustain the ecosyste

There is no certainty of an AI winter, let alone of it's harshness. Quantum computing and quantum machine learning are here and they could sustain the ecosystem for this next decade as ANNs did the last one. Money will vanish as it did in the 1999 crash for overvalued stocks. This might happen for self-driving cars and other too hyped products. But AI research will continue and be well funded. FAANGs are not going anywhere and they will push AI as much as they can. For example AWS has the Bracket service for quantum computing and quantum ML via PennyLane. This will hit mainstream in the next few years. In the worst case we will have (approximate) human level intelligence by brain simulation. This will likely remain in Academia and be less paid than FAANG AI projects but will stay here. In 10 to 20 years we might see it getting mainstream. It is still a very exciting field. Hype will die down and some money with it but AI careers will not be threatened at large.

mjburgess 5y ago
> Hype will die down Alas, I think everything in your comment is hype. > Quantum computing and quantum machine learning Harsher news for QC i'm afraid -- there are no quantum computers, and there aren't going to be any for decades -- and even when we have them, they'll be highly specialised devices offering limited generic commercial use. > In the worst case we will have (approximate) human level intelligence by brain simulation I don't know what this means. But there's not going to be any meaningful advances in machine intelligence within a century, and I don't see AGI within a couple hundred years. Intelligence is all about devices, and their interaction with the environment. It seems highly likely to me that the real-time top-down and bottom-up adaption of organic cellular systems will be central to the creation of really-existing intelligence.

mjburgess 5y ago

> Hype will die down Alas, I think everything in your comment is hype. > Quantum computing and quantum machine learning Harsher news for QC i'm afraid -- there are no quantum computers, and there aren't going to be any for decades -- and even when we have them, they'll be highly specialised devices offering limited generic commercial use. > In the worst case we will have (approximate) human level intelligence by brain simulation I don't know what this means. But there's not going to be any meaningful advances in machine intelligence within a century, and I don't see AGI within a couple hundred years. Intelligence is all about devices, and their interaction with the environment. It seems highly likely to me that the real-time top-down and bottom-up adaption of organic cellular systems will be central to the creation of really-existing intelligence.