3 ms·

When is this projected to happen, realistically? 100 years from now?

mrDmrTmrJ 5y ago
Realistically? 2011. As get global instability every time food prices spike from drought and commodities price spikes. That time it kicked off the Arab spring & Syrian civil war. Look at immigration into Europe across the Med. from North Africa. Global food prices are spiking now and we're also seeing protests around the globe. The quote is "Society sits 2 meals and 24 hours from anarchy." So any place there's drought or crop failure we'll see a lot of choas.
- bellyfullofbac 5y ago
  Huh, curious that there hasn't been nationwide Covid-economic-slowdown-related anarchies yet, or maybe I'm not paying attention? In places like India and Indonesia there's currently severe economic slowdown and not enough government intervention. A lot of Covid skeptics call it a plandemic, i.e. manufactured crisis, I don't believe it myself, but if I were running a government I would be asking if we should have a permanent state of emergency (like in the book 1984) to prevent societal collapse...
gibrown 5y ago
It is already happening. Just searching a bit… Katrina displaced 1-1.5m immediately and about 200k never returned. The upper estimates for 2050 is 1.2 billion displaced world wide.
bellyfullofbac 5y ago
Drought -> Farmers unable to farm in Syrian countryside -> they move to the cities to try to earn money -> social and political instability -> civil war -> European refugee crisis Also, 2010 Russian forest fires[1] -> grain prices went up -> food prices went up -> hunger for the poor in Middle East -> Arab Spring (ah, remember when Twitter was saving the world?) -> European refugee crisis https://www.nytimes.com/2010/08/06/world/europe/06russia.html https://www.nytimes.com/2010/08/06/world/europe/06russia.htm...
lmilcin 5y ago
I actually work with one guy who moved with family from Chennai because he says it is unbearably there and he prefers polish climate much more.

Realistically? 2011. As get global instability every time food prices spike from drought and commodities price spikes. That time it kicked off the Arab spring & Syrian civil war. Look at immigration into Europe across the Med. from North Africa. Global food prices are spiking now and we're also seeing protests around the globe. The quote is "Society sits 2 meals and 24 hours from anarchy." So any place there's drought or crop failure we'll see a lot of choas.

bellyfullofbac 5y ago
Huh, curious that there hasn't been nationwide Covid-economic-slowdown-related anarchies yet, or maybe I'm not paying attention? In places like India and Indonesia there's currently severe economic slowdown and not enough government intervention. A lot of Covid skeptics call it a plandemic, i.e. manufactured crisis, I don't believe it myself, but if I were running a government I would be asking if we should have a permanent state of emergency (like in the book 1984) to prevent societal collapse...

gibrown 5y ago

It is already happening. Just searching a bit… Katrina displaced 1-1.5m immediately and about 200k never returned. The upper estimates for 2050 is 1.2 billion displaced world wide.

bellyfullofbac 5y ago

Drought -> Farmers unable to farm in Syrian countryside -> they move to the cities to try to earn money -> social and political instability -> civil war -> European refugee crisis Also, 2010 Russian forest fires[1] -> grain prices went up -> food prices went up -> hunger for the poor in Middle East -> Arab Spring (ah, remember when Twitter was saving the world?) -> European refugee crisis https://www.nytimes.com/2010/08/06/world/europe/06russia.html https://www.nytimes.com/2010/08/06/world/europe/06russia.htm...

lmilcin 5y ago

I actually work with one guy who moved with family from Chennai because he says it is unbearably there and he prefers polish climate much more.