4 ms·
It's Rate of death for vaccinated * probability of catching covid < Rate of death of vaccinated * probability of catching covid-19 + probability of dying from v
by bronzeage 5y ago
It's Rate of death for vaccinated * probability of catching covid < Rate of death of vaccinated * probability of catching covid-19 + probability of dying from vaccine.
As probability of catching covid-19 decreases, it makes less sense to vaccinate, and if the probability of catching covid-19 is 1%, the vaccine death rate needs to be 100 times smaller than the reduced covid-19 death rate. For young people I think the numbers are against the vaccine.
If it significantly stopped spread that would be different - but the new variants statistics make it pointless at 39% only efficacy.
At this point the numbers are just sadly against vaccines. I'm saying this as a disappointed vaccinated young person. I wouldn't have taken it with the currently known numbers.