Chance of death is recovered people / dead people. Outcomes, not cases in flight. About 1 percent now. Was as high as 10 before our medicine improved. Many

Chance of death is recovered people / dead people. Outcomes, not cases in flight. About 1 percent now. Was as high as 10 before our medicine improved. Many are dividing dead people by infected people. This understates the risk due to infections in progress are not yet outcomes, which biases the risk assessment to the very best, idealized case. The assumption is nobody else infected will die, which is a false assumption. With a vaccine on board, chance of death is a mere, small fraction of 1 percent. For perspective, ask poker players how sure of a thing 1 in 100 is. That hits way more often than people think!