CFR isn’t the same thing as “survival rate”, because the denominator only includes reported cases as opposed to all infections. What you’re looking for is IFR,

CFR isn’t the same thing as “survival rate”, because the denominator only includes reported cases as opposed to all infections. What you’re looking for is IFR, which by definition is a smaller proportion. Anecdotally: my family all tested positive for COVID a few weeks ago via the Abbott at-home test. That test has a relatively large false negative rate (~15% IIRC) but a vanishingly small false positive rate. Of the four of us, I’m the only one who might have been reported to the CDC, because after about a week I called my doctor and asked for a prescription for inhaled steroids to ease my shortness of breath.