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What do you even mean? We are almost two years into this pandemic and the coincidental benefit of different countries reacting differently is that we have a pre
by Pyramus 5y ago
What do you even mean? We are almost two years into this pandemic and the coincidental benefit of different countries reacting differently is that we have a pretty good understanding what the factors are that drive the spread of SARS-Cov2 and it's variants.
It's by no means perfect, but it's surprisingly good.
> Models have been proven wrong time and time again, especially in the covid crisis.
That's an important take-away: models are only as good as the assumptions, all models are wrong to some extent. This becomes especially apparent if you try to predict things, which is easy to get wrong. The real strengths of models is not to predict, but to explain.
- bsaul 5y agoThe real strengths of models is not to predict, but to explain now that's a bold claim... if i'm not mistaken general relativity ultimate test was actually to predict trajectories we hadn't observed yet. i can model any behavior happening in the past, with a sufficient number of parameters in my equation. that doesn't say much on the quality of the model.