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Covid would still be implicated in that case, because its the Covid lockdowns that would have disrupted that. This is a counterfactual analysis with and without
by srean 5y ago
Covid would still be implicated in that case, because its the Covid lockdowns that would have disrupted that. This is a counterfactual analysis with and without Covid, that certainly does not rule out indirect ways that Covid could have increased mortality. If anyone reads this without taking that into consideration, that's either dumb or agenda motivated, very likely both.
Its fairly straightforward. The number of deaths under a given circumstance have its natural uncertainty and fluctuation that's captured by its statistical variance. One compares the recorded deaths during Covid period against the typical number of deaths during a comparable situation, account for the natural fluctuation, what remains is the excess death that cannot be explained by natural fluctuation of these numbers.
With presence of Covid being the significant way in which the scenarios are different, it can be claimed with statistical accuracy which are the excess deaths that happened as a result of Covid, either directly or because of other factors influenced by Covid (Oxygen shortage being one such example).
That said, those close to the government and its agenda will leave no stone unturned to dispute and discredit this study. As long that's an informed, good faith and rational argument I dont mind at all. I do have serious doubts on whether majority of the disputing and discrediting will be based on good faith.
Ah! downvotes. Why am I not surprised.