4 ms·

Not sure a tiny island that’s 6-7’ above sea level is such a genius investment these days.

by notJim 5y ago

thepasswordis 5y ago
Do you think the ocean is going to rise SEVEN FEET?
- DougBTX 5y ago
  Maybe! > A number of later studies have concluded that a global sea level rise of 200 to 270 cm (6.6 to 8.9 ft) this century is "physically plausible".[8][2][9] https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sea_level_rise https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sea_level_rise
- Pixelbrick 5y ago
  Obligatory XKCD https://xkcd.com/1732/ https://xkcd.com/1732/
- eloff 5y ago
  Yes. Much more, even by very conservative estimates. Just probably not in our lifetimes. The maximum sea level rise will be hundreds, even thousands of years from now. In the absolute worst case scenario where all the ice melted, sea level would rise 230 feet. If we did nothing at all about climate change and kept burning fossil fuels until we ran out, that's actually a likely outcome. It has happened in the past when the earth was much warmer. It won't happen to us, because we're taking action. The final sea level rise would depend how we do with actively removing CO2 from the atmosphere, as it will keep rising long after we stop using fossil fuels. 7 feet by the end of this century is not impossible, but not in the conservative estimate. So far we've been tracking the aggressive estimates, not conservative ones.
bob1029 5y ago
The construction of most buildings along these coastal regions is expressly considering these kinds of concerns. Storm surge during a hurricane is an excellent facsimile for this scenario and encourages compensation on the engineering side. I haven't been down to South Padre Island in a long time to confirm, but I know for a fact that no beachfront property in Galveston has a meaningful first floor layout. Every one of these homes is constructed with the expectation that the first floor will flood, so everything important starts on the 2nd floor and up. Ground floor is typically just parking/storage/stairs/elevator. I don't think any place on earth is a good spot to build when playing with geologic timescales.
nickik 5y ago
By far small enough that you could easily protect it if need be.

Not sure a tiny island that’s 6-7’ above sea level is such a genius investment these days.

by notJim 5y ago

Not sure a tiny island that’s 6-7’ above sea level is such a genius investment these days.

thepasswordis 5y ago

Do you think the ocean is going to rise SEVEN FEET?

DougBTX 5y ago
Maybe! > A number of later studies have concluded that a global sea level rise of 200 to 270 cm (6.6 to 8.9 ft) this century is "physically plausible".[8][2][9] https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sea_level_rise https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sea_level_rise
Pixelbrick 5y ago
Obligatory XKCD https://xkcd.com/1732/ https://xkcd.com/1732/
eloff 5y ago
Yes. Much more, even by very conservative estimates. Just probably not in our lifetimes. The maximum sea level rise will be hundreds, even thousands of years from now. In the absolute worst case scenario where all the ice melted, sea level would rise 230 feet. If we did nothing at all about climate change and kept burning fossil fuels until we ran out, that's actually a likely outcome. It has happened in the past when the earth was much warmer. It won't happen to us, because we're taking action. The final sea level rise would depend how we do with actively removing CO2 from the atmosphere, as it will keep rising long after we stop using fossil fuels. 7 feet by the end of this century is not impossible, but not in the conservative estimate. So far we've been tracking the aggressive estimates, not conservative ones.

bob1029 5y ago

The construction of most buildings along these coastal regions is expressly considering these kinds of concerns. Storm surge during a hurricane is an excellent facsimile for this scenario and encourages compensation on the engineering side. I haven't been down to South Padre Island in a long time to confirm, but I know for a fact that no beachfront property in Galveston has a meaningful first floor layout. Every one of these homes is constructed with the expectation that the first floor will flood, so everything important starts on the 2nd floor and up. Ground floor is typically just parking/storage/stairs/elevator. I don't think any place on earth is a good spot to build when playing with geologic timescales.

nickik 5y ago

By far small enough that you could easily protect it if need be.