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Neil Ferguson, Imperial College London, "study", this and others were used to advise govs and WHO to classify as coronavirus as a pandemic He predicted this wr
by guilhas 5y ago
Neil Ferguson, Imperial College London, "study", this and others were used to advise govs and WHO to classify as coronavirus as a pandemic
He predicted this wrongly, and previous "pandemics"/outbreaks too
And he is still advising the UK government
- mjreacher 5y agoHmmm, looking around for a bit I assume you are talking about this study here https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdf https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/s... which notes the 2.2 million as a worst case scenario where nothing is done to stop the pandemic, which is obviously not what happened. Although I would agree that the government should be taking into account his previous forecasting when determining the accuracy and significance of his model.