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I doubt the strength of arguments that go like “people have been saying X forever, but X hasn't happened yet - therefore not X” because it completely ignores ev
by klysm 5y ago
I doubt the strength of arguments that go like “people have been saying X forever, but X hasn't happened yet - therefore not X” because it completely ignores evidence for X over time.
- AnimalMuppet 5y agoThere are some things that look like X. There are also things that look like "not X". Taking it all in, should your estimation of the probability of X be going up, or down? The problem is, whichever way you answer, someone from the other side can say "You're not taking into account all the evidence". And you can say, "Yes, I am - you aren't!" And things from there go in completely unproductive directions.