4 ms·
Many scholars have posited that a global thermonuclear war with Cold War-era stockpiles, or even with the current smaller stockpiles, may lead to human extincti
by ceilingcorner 5y ago
Many scholars have posited that a global thermonuclear war with Cold War-era stockpiles, or even with the current smaller stockpiles, may lead to human extinction. This position was bolstered when nuclear winter was first conceptualized and modelled in 1983. However, models from the past decade consider total extinction very unlikely, and suggest parts of the world would remain habitable.[25] Technically the risk may not be zero, as the climatic effects of nuclear war are uncertain and could theoretically be larger than current models suggest, just as they could theoretically be smaller than current models suggest. There could also be indirect risks, such as a societal collapse following nuclear war that can make humanity much more vulnerable to other existential threats
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_holocaust https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_holocaust
- michaelmrose 5y agoWe might live but we wouldn't live well and our long term prospects would be dim.
- ceilingcorner 5y agoThe claim was “extinction event.”
- msbarnett 5y agoThe phrase I used was actually “extinction scenario” rather than a singular event, and “most people die immediately, an unlucky few eke out lives of unspeakable horror and pestilence for a handful of generations before the species collapses entirely” was basically what I had in mind. Really though I can’t imagine what you think this pedantic obsession with whether or not everyone gets blown up immediately is adding to the conversation.
- ceilingcorner 5y agoIt’s not pedantic, it’s referencing actual studies on the topic. No expert thinks that humans would go extinct.