4 ms·

Rapid change already has slowed down. Not too much significant has happened over then past decade. The period of greatest change is already behind us in the ear

Rapid change already has slowed down. Not too much significant has happened over then past decade. The period of greatest change is already behind us in the early 20th century. Technological and social change can not be ever accelorating. It follows a logistic curve. I agree that macro scale change did fuel a lot of micro social behavor changes like increase in divorce rates, etc. In the past family was more sacrosanct because it had more utility for example working on farms together, family cottagw industry. With the industrial revolution the individual became relatively more valuable than before.

Method-X 5y ago
I hope you’re right. Maybe in the future we’ll look back on the 20th century as a time of Great Change and the 21st was when we had to figure out how to make it all work.
triceratops 5y ago
> Not too much significant has happened over then past decade That's a bold statement, and IMO a very incorrect one. You just can't see it right now because you're too close. Electric cars, batteries, and solar power in general have taken off. Autonomous driving draws ever closer. Covid has changed work culture, education, and lifestyles the world over, probably permanently. And mRNA tech could revolutionize healthcare. SpaceX made great strides in making launches cheaper. FAANG became a thing. Social media really came into its own, meaningfully affecting the real world at scale. The Trump presidency set the world on a radically different course, on issues such as climate change, the West's relationship with China and Russia, and NATO. Gay marriage became legal in a slew of countries. This is just the stuff I can recall off the top of my head.
- morpheos137 5y ago
  most of these things, in my studied opinion, are either insignificant or overhyped. To pick a few examples driverless cars as a usable transportation commodity are no where near close. True AI is no where near close. Spacex is a stunt, not something like inventing AC. Trump was far less significant than Bush II and 9/11, while that was less significant than the fall of communism, and that in turn was less significant than WWI...
  - triceratops 5y ago
    I suppose time will tell. IMO the only difference between my examples and yours is the amount of time that has passed, giving us perspective.
- Apocryphon 5y ago
  What's the difference between FAANG now and IBM, HP, Dell, Sun, Yahoo!, and Apple of yesteryear?
  - triceratops 5y ago
    Market cap and size relative to the rest of the market. Prior to the 2010s, Microsoft was the only tech company consistently on the list of top 10 by market cap (IBM and Intel made fleeting appearances). The top 10 used to be more diverse - telecom, healthcare/pharma, oil and gas, finance. Now that list is absolutely dominated by tech: Alibaba, Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, Microsoft, Tencent, and (sometimes) TSMC.[1] It's not a turn-of-the-century-style dotcom bubble either; all of these companies are highly profitable. 1. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_public_corporations_by_market_capitalization#1996 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_public_corporations_by...

Method-X 5y ago

I hope you’re right. Maybe in the future we’ll look back on the 20th century as a time of Great Change and the 21st was when we had to figure out how to make it all work.

triceratops 5y ago

> Not too much significant has happened over then past decade That's a bold statement, and IMO a very incorrect one. You just can't see it right now because you're too close. Electric cars, batteries, and solar power in general have taken off. Autonomous driving draws ever closer. Covid has changed work culture, education, and lifestyles the world over, probably permanently. And mRNA tech could revolutionize healthcare. SpaceX made great strides in making launches cheaper. FAANG became a thing. Social media really came into its own, meaningfully affecting the real world at scale. The Trump presidency set the world on a radically different course, on issues such as climate change, the West's relationship with China and Russia, and NATO. Gay marriage became legal in a slew of countries. This is just the stuff I can recall off the top of my head.

morpheos137 5y ago
most of these things, in my studied opinion, are either insignificant or overhyped. To pick a few examples driverless cars as a usable transportation commodity are no where near close. True AI is no where near close. Spacex is a stunt, not something like inventing AC. Trump was far less significant than Bush II and 9/11, while that was less significant than the fall of communism, and that in turn was less significant than WWI...
- triceratops 5y ago
  I suppose time will tell. IMO the only difference between my examples and yours is the amount of time that has passed, giving us perspective.
Apocryphon 5y ago
What's the difference between FAANG now and IBM, HP, Dell, Sun, Yahoo!, and Apple of yesteryear?
- triceratops 5y ago
  Market cap and size relative to the rest of the market. Prior to the 2010s, Microsoft was the only tech company consistently on the list of top 10 by market cap (IBM and Intel made fleeting appearances). The top 10 used to be more diverse - telecom, healthcare/pharma, oil and gas, finance. Now that list is absolutely dominated by tech: Alibaba, Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, Microsoft, Tencent, and (sometimes) TSMC.[1] It's not a turn-of-the-century-style dotcom bubble either; all of these companies are highly profitable. 1. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_public_corporations_by_market_capitalization#1996 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_public_corporations_by...