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Read this: http://www.levyinstitute.org/pubs/wp74.pdf http://www.levyinstitute.org/pubs/wp74.pdf The bubble is when there are large numbers of Ponzi finance en
by nissimk 15y ago
Read this: http://www.levyinstitute.org/pubs/wp74.pdf http://www.levyinstitute.org/pubs/wp74.pdf
The bubble is when there are large numbers of Ponzi finance entities that can only meet their financial obligations by acquiring additional investments. I think that the startup scene particularly Internet related startups often appear to be ponzi financed when they spend a long time acquiring users or data without a stated business model for generating income.
Also, for a bubble to be ready to burst there needs to be large scale public participation. In 1999 everybody was talking about tech stocks (literally everybody). In 06 everybody was talking about flipping houses and cash out refinancing. Everybody doesn't have access to early or even late stage venture financing opportunities. If you see products that allow individuals to invest in this type of speculation and they gain in popularity then the bubble talk will be a lot more real.
- Terretta 15y agoYour "Ponzi" example is even more apt about the 1999 - 2000 bubble. Many of the tech companies were engaged in three way revenue exchanges using numbers on paper. The same $100M was being reported as revenue by three organizations, and didn't really even exist.