It is, in fact, a very long time. Because economic cycles these days are 5 to 10 years long (which is pretty long historically). Being a bit off on your infla

It is, in fact, a very long time. Because economic cycles these days are 5 to 10 years long (which is pretty long historically). Being a bit off on your inflation call by just 2 or 3 years is essentially the same as being completely wrong.