3 ms·

The author mentioned the risk is 2x higher but what is the risk of the original variant itself ? The author didn't mention that.

• alkonaut 5y ago
  The author spends a section on that, including a chart. Search for this passsage to see the chart: The IFR (Infected Fatality Rate4) for the original variant was about 0.01% for those in their 20s and 0.2% for those in their 40s. Direct link to the chart https://cdn.substack.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7e833c1e-ddbf-44b1-829c-319be504a88c_644x462.png https://cdn.substack.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_p...
  • matz1 5y ago
    >The IFR (Infected Fatality Rate4) for the original variant was about 0.01% for those in their 20s and 0.2% for those in their 40 Thanks, so 2x of that is 0.02% and 0.4%, that was my point: 2x of a low rate is still low
    • alkonaut 5y ago
      I don’t think anyone is arguing 20-somethings should be getting the vaccine for (their own) risk of ending up dead. The risk is low but not even healthy 20 year olds should disregard a 2/10000 risk of preventable death.
      • matz1 5y ago
        Its a choice, at least for me there is a lot of thing in life that a lot more worrying than 2/10000 risk of preventable death