I think this take is right in the sense that most consumer-oriented shitware and business CRUD programs are going to be written as web apps from here on out, bu

I think this take is right in the sense that most consumer-oriented shitware and business CRUD programs are going to be written as web apps from here on out, but I don't really buy that it will completely supplant native software. If you're reading this site, you're probably in tune with the latest hype cycles, and see the world in that lens. In the same vein as the Dark Matter Developer post that occasionally pops up on here, most of the world's software is Dark Matter Software. Mountains of native software quietly runs the world, completely oblivious to the churn we're discussing. Replacing their functionality with a webapp is either impossible or just not worth it.