> The current stock price is always a prediction of future earnings Maybe in theory, but in practice, at least currently, that’s not how the market is behaving

> The current stock price is always a prediction of future earnings Maybe in theory, but in practice, at least currently, that’s not how the market is behaving. The current stock price reflects the aggregated sentiment of past transactions regarding the probability of the actors being able to turn a profit now vs later. The person who is selling is either acting on the sentiment of cutting losses or realizing a gain, while the one buying is acting on the sentiment of the expectation of future gains. Earnings might be one factor that informs sentiment, but it is not the only one or even the most important, especially for retail investors using Robinhood for example.