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> FiveThirtyEight predicted a 28.6% chance of a Trump victory: This is cherry-picking of the highest widely-known prediction by far, practically an outlier. An
by unishark 5y ago
> FiveThirtyEight predicted a 28.6% chance of a Trump victory:
This is cherry-picking of the highest widely-known prediction by far, practically an outlier. And I don't think they do any actual polling, just analysis using others' polling data.