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> the vast majority of the time it is simply a combination of selection bias and the human tendency to want to believe things that support your own worldview C

> the vast majority of the time it is simply a combination of selection bias and the human tendency to want to believe things that support your own worldview Citation needed. Given Jeff Bezos success in growing a business from scratch, this is clearly one of his secrets and why "Are right, A Lot" is an Amazon leadership principle. I'm always surprised that people are so easy to dismiss insights from successful people.

CameronNemo 5y ago
Just because Bezos knew how to create a successful business, does not make him a successful person.
michaelmrose 5y ago
Steve Jobs was fantastically successful at running a computer company. He's primarily dead because his business sensibilities were astute and on point while his knowledge of heath care was so laughable that one of the worlds wealthiest men ignored reasonable treatments that had a reasonable chance of saving him so long that all the money in the world couldn't. It seems that skill in business does not confer virtue in any other area of life and one ought not give a very successful person extraordinary consideration outside his area of expertise. You have been presented with a thesis that the California exodus is a myth. You have responded with a complete non sequitur quote from a mediocre man about trusting the anecdote vs the data asking us to forget or ignore in order the fact that the idea espoused by the quotation is nonsense, that Bezos wasn't registering an opinion on this topic, you are, and that you have made no argument whatsoever. It is untenable to launder your opinion through a rich dudes mouth and then accuse skeptics of casual dismissal of insights from successful people when people are actually and in fact not dismissing Bezos they are registering their opinion on your comment here today.
toofy 5y ago
> Given Jeff Bezos success in growing a business from scratch… One thing we have to remember, savant level of greatness in one area can often indicate deficiencies in other areas. If I were starting an online retailer 20 years ago, I would absolutely take Bezos’ advice. There are also countless other areas where I would seek advice from those with different areas of experience.

CameronNemo 5y ago

Just because Bezos knew how to create a successful business, does not make him a successful person.

michaelmrose 5y ago

Steve Jobs was fantastically successful at running a computer company. He's primarily dead because his business sensibilities were astute and on point while his knowledge of heath care was so laughable that one of the worlds wealthiest men ignored reasonable treatments that had a reasonable chance of saving him so long that all the money in the world couldn't. It seems that skill in business does not confer virtue in any other area of life and one ought not give a very successful person extraordinary consideration outside his area of expertise. You have been presented with a thesis that the California exodus is a myth. You have responded with a complete non sequitur quote from a mediocre man about trusting the anecdote vs the data asking us to forget or ignore in order the fact that the idea espoused by the quotation is nonsense, that Bezos wasn't registering an opinion on this topic, you are, and that you have made no argument whatsoever. It is untenable to launder your opinion through a rich dudes mouth and then accuse skeptics of casual dismissal of insights from successful people when people are actually and in fact not dismissing Bezos they are registering their opinion on your comment here today.

toofy 5y ago

> Given Jeff Bezos success in growing a business from scratch… One thing we have to remember, savant level of greatness in one area can often indicate deficiencies in other areas. If I were starting an online retailer 20 years ago, I would absolutely take Bezos’ advice. There are also countless other areas where I would seek advice from those with different areas of experience.