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> I've come to understand that all climate models are basically useless for predicting anything I am under the impression that the worst-case scenarios in most
by moistly 5y ago
> I've come to understand that all climate models are basically useless for predicting anything
I am under the impression that the worst-case scenarios in most models have pretty much all come to pass, often earlier than expected. Seems to me that they’ve been very predictive. It would have been nice had the media more accurately delivered those predictions; perhaps it would have prompted some early action.
- adamrezich 5y ago"most models"???
- moistly 5y agoYes, most models plotted a range of outcomes over time, depending on how much we reined in CO2 production. Our current CO2 levels, ocean temperature & acidity, glacier melt, and global temperature are in excess of all “good case” predictions. We failed to rein in CO2 production and now we’re pretty much living the worst-case scenarios… as predicted.