> Pretty sure they will indeed have a famine soon if nothing changes. Your reasoning and argument to suggest famine will befall the country is a non sequitur.

> Pretty sure they will indeed have a famine soon if nothing changes. Your reasoning and argument to suggest famine will befall the country is a non sequitur. You list a bunch of events and provide citations. Sure, these are fact. But I am not sure how a halving of billions of dollars of currency reserves at the central bank, for example, leads to famine in a country like Lebanon. Don't forget that not too long ago Lebanon went through a civil war that wrecked the country - but there was no famine to go with it. Nassim Taleb speaks a lot about "anti-fragile" - partly because he is from Lebanon and sees the concept play out everyday. That anti-fragility would prevent a true famine from occurring: a rich and extensive diaspora amongst many other qualities.