3 ms·
This is the most important point in this discussion. If we find out for certain this virus came from a lab leak or not, it wouldn't much change the probability
by akvadrako 5y ago
This is the most important point in this discussion. If we find out for certain this virus came from a lab leak or not, it wouldn't much change the probability it could have.
I'd estimate most people can agree the probability of a lab leak of a dangerous virus in any given decade is between 1-20%. Is this acceptable or can we greatly reduce it with policy?
- tim333 5y agoI think the prior record of leaks of any dangerous virus has been more like 80%. But that's mostly existing viruses and not setting off pandemics.