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Your points about DRM, network effects and studios building crappy streaming services are spot on, but there's one thing that overrides all those: Content-owner

Your points about DRM, network effects and studios building crappy streaming services are spot on, but there's one thing that overrides all those: Content-owners hold hostage practically every important work since the 1930's. They can simply refuse to renew their deals with Netflix. The only place you'll be able to get their content is from approved services. I think the studios will continue to raise their licensing prices for Netflix, until eventually Netflix has margins close to zero. It won't be fun for consumers, since the negotiations will cause movies on Netflix to disappear and reappear randomly. 618c5b50e71cee32de7515ab70d371e8c5c9e00a

rjbond3rd 15y ago
Just curious, what's with the hash? Are you concerned your message might get tampered with?
- AngryParsley 15y ago
  It's a prediction, and not a very interesting one at that. Still, I don't want to reveal it until the discussion has fizzled out. I promise I'll sate your curiosity in 24 hours.
  - AngryParsley 15y ago
    Ugh, I can't believe it. My laptop battery died and with it, my recent bash_history (which was not saved to disk). I don't remember the exact text, so I might as well spoil my prediction now since it can't be confirmed. I predicted that some nitpicker would reply to my comment and name a few important works that are in the public domain or CC-licensed. Like I said, not a very interesting prediction. This hasn't happened yet, so my prediction was wrong. In this case, making the prediction public changes how people act, so I didn't want to say it outright. On the other hand, saying "I knew you were gonna do that" isn't very believable. A hash of the prediction is a good solution to this problem. The only information it conveys is that a prediction has been made. Sorry for the losing the exact text. I love being able to prove I predicted something.
    - yequalsx 15y ago
      I like the idea you have there. I wish there was a service that would keep track of predictions by politicians, pundits, and other notable figures. Maybe then people would realize that a lot of people on TV(radio) are only randomly saying something reasonable.
    - protomyth 15y ago
      That would actually be a very interesting addition to message board. Add a note to your last posted message that reveals itself after a set time and allows people to vote on the truth of the predication. nice idea - sorry about the loss

rjbond3rd 15y ago

Just curious, what's with the hash? Are you concerned your message might get tampered with?

AngryParsley 15y ago
It's a prediction, and not a very interesting one at that. Still, I don't want to reveal it until the discussion has fizzled out. I promise I'll sate your curiosity in 24 hours.
- AngryParsley 15y ago
  Ugh, I can't believe it. My laptop battery died and with it, my recent bash_history (which was not saved to disk). I don't remember the exact text, so I might as well spoil my prediction now since it can't be confirmed. I predicted that some nitpicker would reply to my comment and name a few important works that are in the public domain or CC-licensed. Like I said, not a very interesting prediction. This hasn't happened yet, so my prediction was wrong. In this case, making the prediction public changes how people act, so I didn't want to say it outright. On the other hand, saying "I knew you were gonna do that" isn't very believable. A hash of the prediction is a good solution to this problem. The only information it conveys is that a prediction has been made. Sorry for the losing the exact text. I love being able to prove I predicted something.
  - yequalsx 15y ago
    I like the idea you have there. I wish there was a service that would keep track of predictions by politicians, pundits, and other notable figures. Maybe then people would realize that a lot of people on TV(radio) are only randomly saying something reasonable.
  - protomyth 15y ago
    That would actually be a very interesting addition to message board. Add a note to your last posted message that reveals itself after a set time and allows people to vote on the truth of the predication. nice idea - sorry about the loss