It's worth noting that one of the original authors of Prophet (Sean Taylor) basically agrees with this and is now on a team at Lyft doing probabilistic forecast

It's worth noting that one of the original authors of Prophet (Sean Taylor) basically agrees with this and is now on a team at Lyft doing probabilistic forecasting for their marketplace [0]. [0] https://twimlai.com/causal-models-in-practice-at-lyft-with-sean-taylor/ https://twimlai.com/causal-models-in-practice-at-lyft-with-s...