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Got a link to the source for that ratio? Also, your conclusion definitely doesn't follow from that ratio alone. A simple example: Before: cold kills 20 people,
by EForEndeavour 5y ago
Got a link to the source for that ratio? Also, your conclusion definitely doesn't follow from that ratio alone. A simple example:
Before: cold kills 20 people, heat kills 1 person. Cold kills 20x more, for a total of 21 deaths.
After: cold kills 15 people, heat kills 15 people. Cold kills the same number of people as heat, for a total of 30 deaths.
- missedthecue 5y agohttps://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(15)60897-2/fulltext?rss%253Dyes https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6...
- EForEndeavour 5y agoThanks! "However, if—as the data seem to show—extreme cold is relatively unimportant, then a few degrees of warming will not yield a large reduction in cold-related mortality. Moreover, if extreme heat is important, then the same few additional degrees might cause a substantial increase in heat-related mortality." The study warns that global warming won't appreciably reduce deaths due to cold, but might substantially increase deaths due to heat. Again, the current 20-fold factor between deaths due to cold and heat says nothing about future mortality.