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It doesnt really matter. Temperature and weather variance exist, there will always be extreme weather events on record, but wildly temporally disparately. A mil
by eximius 5y ago
It doesnt really matter. Temperature and weather variance exist, there will always be extreme weather events on record, but wildly temporally disparately. A million locations, a million draws from a random distributuon, a few of them are going to have far tail events.
What we're seeing today is breaking records everywhere, at the same time.
- throwawaysea 5y agoI would argue that we still need to cautiously analyze each event and understand them for their specific circumstances. For example there was a heat wave recently in the Pacific Northwest of the US. Casual journalists and politicians have been pulling it into the global warming narrative, with our state's governor going so far as hinting at a "permanent climate emergency". Meanwhile, actual climate scientists are being more cautious, since this event also looks a lot like a rare perfect storm of coinciding factors. That is, it may have been that rare "1 in 100 years" event that would occur with or without climate change. For instance, Cliff Mass, a Professor of Atmospheric Science at UW, said (https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2021/06/incredible-temperatures-are-being.html https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2021/06/incredible-temperatur...): > Is global warming contributing to this heatwave? The answer is certainly yes. Would we have had a record heatwave without global warming. The answer is yes as well.