5 ms·

CCP has too many missiles. That was their strategy the whole time, overwhelming numbers of short to medium range missiles.

MeinBlutIstBlau 5y ago
What point is conquering a people if you level it to the point that people can live there? It defeats the point of annexation. I guarantee Taiwan has seen that day coming that they've got bunkers galore kind of like Switzerland. Believe it or not, it's a mountainous island. At best, it'd be a drawn out Afghanistan with a diplomatic sanction frenzy worldwide. China would be painted by global media outlets as evil if they took a total war approach. They'd have to do it like Russia with Crimea or Milosevic in Yugoslavia with paramilitary groups. Everyday the Taiwanese identify less Chinese making it that much harder. The only thing that will make them do it is if the US and EU are in a weak state and can't be bothered with policing that. Like another depression and global war elsewhere.
- hindsightbias 5y ago
  The worlds outrage would last as long as their iPhone supply. Cook didn’t take Trump as a threat enough to justify diversifying his supply chain much, he isn’t losing any sleep about Taiwans upcoming annex.
- nyokodo 5y ago
  > The only thing that will make them do it is if the US and EU are in a weak state and can't be bothered with policing that. If that were the case then neither would they be reigning in Japan, Vietnam, the Philippines, South Korea, and India. All Chinese strategic adversaries right on their doorstep. India alone could shut down oil shipments to China that all have to sail close by. Japan’s navy is stronger than China’s and they have formidable air defenses. China might just spark a regional war which they probably wouldn’t win. I hope they’re not suicidal enough to test this though.
- randomopining 5y ago
  The point is to control the island that locks in their aspirations of controlling Asian sea trade and thus slowly controlling the countries around them. They don’t care about the people there one bit. When they control most of the world in the future, they can just rewrite history and nobody will know. Classic move.

MeinBlutIstBlau 5y ago

What point is conquering a people if you level it to the point that people can live there? It defeats the point of annexation. I guarantee Taiwan has seen that day coming that they've got bunkers galore kind of like Switzerland. Believe it or not, it's a mountainous island. At best, it'd be a drawn out Afghanistan with a diplomatic sanction frenzy worldwide. China would be painted by global media outlets as evil if they took a total war approach. They'd have to do it like Russia with Crimea or Milosevic in Yugoslavia with paramilitary groups. Everyday the Taiwanese identify less Chinese making it that much harder. The only thing that will make them do it is if the US and EU are in a weak state and can't be bothered with policing that. Like another depression and global war elsewhere.

hindsightbias 5y ago
The worlds outrage would last as long as their iPhone supply. Cook didn’t take Trump as a threat enough to justify diversifying his supply chain much, he isn’t losing any sleep about Taiwans upcoming annex.
nyokodo 5y ago
> The only thing that will make them do it is if the US and EU are in a weak state and can't be bothered with policing that. If that were the case then neither would they be reigning in Japan, Vietnam, the Philippines, South Korea, and India. All Chinese strategic adversaries right on their doorstep. India alone could shut down oil shipments to China that all have to sail close by. Japan’s navy is stronger than China’s and they have formidable air defenses. China might just spark a regional war which they probably wouldn’t win. I hope they’re not suicidal enough to test this though.
randomopining 5y ago
The point is to control the island that locks in their aspirations of controlling Asian sea trade and thus slowly controlling the countries around them. They don’t care about the people there one bit. When they control most of the world in the future, they can just rewrite history and nobody will know. Classic move.