Apologies, in the 100 year time scale I was referring to this [1] - but that is for a "big one (8.0-8.6)" not a "really big one (8.7-9.2)". The risk of a big on

Apologies, in the 100 year time scale I was referring to this [1] - but that is for a "big one (8.0-8.6)" not a "really big one (8.7-9.2)". The risk of a big one is 1 in 3 in the next 50 years, 1 in 10 for the really big one. So _likely_ 250 till the next big, big one. So who cares right? The very definition of "not my problem". On the up side (referring back to the top of this thread) ELE Asteroids are millions of years apart :) [1] https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2015/07/20/the-really-big-one https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2015/07/20/the-really-big...)