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They're probably buying on credit, so their purchase price doesn't really change if rising interest rates are the cause of the price drop.
by xapata 5y ago
They're probably buying on credit, so their purchase price doesn't really change if rising interest rates are the cause of the price drop.
- recursivedoubts 5y agoOnly if the rise in interest rates is offset by the price drop. With interest rates so low, that's almost certainly not the case: home prices will crater. End of the day, home cost matters and blackrock isn't stupid. They are paying a 20% premium over today's insane market. Think about that. They either expect hyperinflation and/or low rates forever or they are being told to buy the homes.
- xapata 5y agoAnother option is that Black rock believes the government, when push comes to shove, won't let housing prices fall dramatically, since a large portion of the electorate has nearly all their net worth tied up in their homes.
- recursivedoubts 5y agoYou are now arguing that Blackrock knows something we don't know. Which is fine, and I think there is a good chance that's true.
- xapata 5y agoKnows vs believes. For an investor, belief with an estimation of confidence is sufficient. There's never really a "knows for sure" even with insider trading. For what it's worth, I'm of the same belief. I think it's politically infeasible to allow house prices to decrease significantly throughout the whole United States.