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The simulation includes this assumption: > Technology persists in a given settlement for 100 million years before dying out Seems wildly speculative to me. Ou
by katabasis 5y ago
The simulation includes this assumption:
> Technology persists in a given settlement for 100 million years before dying out
Seems wildly speculative to me. Our own civilization has only been around for a tiny fraction of that time and future prospects are already looking pretty uncertain. And if we lived in a galaxy where civilizations had this kind of longevity, one would think we'd see some evidence of potential signals out there.
My own pessimistic take on the Fermi Paradox is that life and intelligence may not be very unique but there is no reason for them to be long-lived either. Most civilizations are probably just a "flash in the pan", existing too briefly and separated by too great a distance to ever come into contact with another one (or even learn of another's existence).
- throwaway316943 5y agoMy optimistic take is that advanced civilizations capable of travelling the galaxy don’t spend their time hanging around planets and stars for the same reason we no longer hang around caves and fire started by lightning. They’ve mastered fusion and matter transmutation so they just build their own habitats and energy sources wherever they want.
- martinflack 5y ago> They’ve mastered fusion and matter transmutation so they just build their own habitats and energy sources wherever they want. ...and maybe not even within the four dimensions with which we're most familiar.