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> A small number of communities initiate most conflicts, with 1% of communities initiating 74% of all conflicts. This reminds me of an old episode of Radiolab

> A small number of communities initiate most conflicts, with 1% of communities initiating 74% of all conflicts. This reminds me of an old episode of Radiolab (I think?) in which a New York cop started doing data analysis on petty crimes and discovered that some particular crime waves (for example, “purse snatching is up 120%!”) it would turn out to be just one guy who had turned it into a sort of career. I think about that all the time. Sometimes what appears to be a widespread problem is really just a single bad actor (or software bug, or leaky pipe, etc.) Unfortunately that cop’s data analysis turned into a computer system which was then abused as a quota system for arrests, but I still appreciate the original idea. [Edit] I think it was this episode of Reply All: https://gimletmedia.com/shows/reply-all/o2hx34 https://gimletmedia.com/shows/reply-all/o2hx34

swiley 5y ago
A lot of the world seems like that; things that look like mass changes often have just a handful of people behind them. FOSS especially feels that way sometimes.
- hairofadog 5y ago
  Interesting! It may be an indictment of my sour personality that I’ve only ever thought of this metaphor in terms of problems and not solutions.
swader999 5y ago
And what if those one percent communities were infiltrated and the leadership comprised of government agents and paid informants? 1/6 is looking more and more like an inside operation. Before you shoot the messenger and discredit the sources below know that their claims are all based off of government charging documents where it's spelled out clearly. https://www.revolver.news/2021/06/federal-foreknowledge-jan-6-unindicted-co-conspirators-raise-disturbing-questions/ https://www.revolver.news/2021/06/federal-foreknowledge-jan-... https://youtu.be/qWkOo1cFcms https://youtu.be/qWkOo1cFcms
- CryptoPunk 5y ago
  I suspect you get this with concentrated interests. When someone stands to benefit disproportionately from a particular social outcome, they acquire a significant economic interest in specializing in social manipulation toward that end, and specialization has returns to scale, allowing a small number of specialists to outmanouver large collections of less-interested individuals in shaping public opinion. Some examples of areas where we may see concentrated interests: * cryptocurrency - large holders have a financial interest in popularizing cryptocurrency as a technology and investment * corporations - large shareholders have a financial interest in promoting companies and their interests * labor unions - unionized employees have a financial interest in promoting left-wing narratives that rationalize laws that privilege unions. This includes journalists and government employees, who are almost all unionized * government employees - have an interest in promoting government spending and discrediting free market capitalists * private government contractors/consultants - this includes AML consultants and black hat technology companies that work with law enforcement agencies and governments. The same dynamic that's seen with government employees, but magnified

swiley 5y ago

A lot of the world seems like that; things that look like mass changes often have just a handful of people behind them. FOSS especially feels that way sometimes.

hairofadog 5y ago
Interesting! It may be an indictment of my sour personality that I’ve only ever thought of this metaphor in terms of problems and not solutions.

swader999 5y ago

And what if those one percent communities were infiltrated and the leadership comprised of government agents and paid informants? 1/6 is looking more and more like an inside operation. Before you shoot the messenger and discredit the sources below know that their claims are all based off of government charging documents where it's spelled out clearly. https://www.revolver.news/2021/06/federal-foreknowledge-jan-6-unindicted-co-conspirators-raise-disturbing-questions/ https://www.revolver.news/2021/06/federal-foreknowledge-jan-... https://youtu.be/qWkOo1cFcms https://youtu.be/qWkOo1cFcms

CryptoPunk 5y ago
I suspect you get this with concentrated interests. When someone stands to benefit disproportionately from a particular social outcome, they acquire a significant economic interest in specializing in social manipulation toward that end, and specialization has returns to scale, allowing a small number of specialists to outmanouver large collections of less-interested individuals in shaping public opinion. Some examples of areas where we may see concentrated interests: * cryptocurrency - large holders have a financial interest in popularizing cryptocurrency as a technology and investment * corporations - large shareholders have a financial interest in promoting companies and their interests * labor unions - unionized employees have a financial interest in promoting left-wing narratives that rationalize laws that privilege unions. This includes journalists and government employees, who are almost all unionized * government employees - have an interest in promoting government spending and discrediting free market capitalists * private government contractors/consultants - this includes AML consultants and black hat technology companies that work with law enforcement agencies and governments. The same dynamic that's seen with government employees, but magnified