3 ms·
This matches my take. Note your 4 options is what will happen to prices. If he chooses to buy consumption goods, those things will rise in price by some amount
by ItsMonkk 5y ago
This matches my take.
Note your 4 options is what will happen to prices. If he chooses to buy consumption goods, those things will rise in price by some amount. If he chooses stocks, the person that sold that stock to him will want a higher price than before that $1B was handed to Bezos and he increased the demand for stocks by $1B. Likewise for the other two. These are just supply and demand curves. Basic macroeconomics 101.
So we can see that when new money is created in an economy, it must necessarily be split within all the asset classes according to the decisions made by the person given the money. The person given that money proceeds to do the same thing in a chain of purchases.
So now when we zoom back and look at the Federal Reserves mandate we can see it much more clearly. "We need to ensure that when we print more money than goods are created, that money is chosen to be put into stocks and not consumption goods.". They do so by directly affecting the prices of stocks by buying company bonds, which then is directly used to buyback stocks. In effect, the Federal Mandate is wealth inequality.
The big problem with that is its a house of cards. Once you start supporting inequality, the greater inequality means that you have even less room to mess up and smaller and smaller hedges will have larger and larger impacts. And if the wealthy choose to go against their overall utility and cashout today, the entire system collapses. If the wealthy work out that someone else can cashout and they become the bagholder (like BOA margin-calling Archegos Capital), then that will trigger themselves to do so to save risk.
So we can see that the Federal Reserve's plan does not in fact deal with the risk, it pushes it forward as a bigger risk. The Federal Reserve is just a Martingale.
It might be possible for this system to last for hundreds of years, it's already worked for 50. I have no idea how close we are to some limit.