4 ms·

I'm not conflating anything? I'm only pointing out, under prospect theory, people value avoiding a loss over a risk for a gain. It's rational for someone who i

• weaksauce 5y ago
  > in an age group with a 0.2% of COVID turning into anything more than a standard cold/flu except that's not the statistic... that's the death statistic for that age group. the odds of getting sicker than cold/flu are higher still and you will get much much sicker than the vaccine will give most people.
  • adamiscool8 5y ago
    It was the hospitalization rate, as cited, and the rest of your comment is unsupported conjecture...
    • weaksauce 5y ago
      Except that's misleading considering that hospitalization is not a prerequisite for death and the statistic in that group is higher than 0.2% https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#demographics https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#demographics the death rate in that cohort is 0.36% or about 1 in 300 14,387 deaths in 3,978,547 cases considering that they are on the high end of that bracket the next higher bracket is about 1.3% mortality rate or about 1 in 100 though that houses the group up to age 64 so it's more likely closer to the 0.5%-0.8% mortality rate but that's interpolating the data so it's messy.