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Technically, I suppose, it was Archilochus: "The fox knows many things; the hedgehog one great thing." Tetlock seems to have a slightly different interpretatio
by zimpenfish 5y ago
Technically, I suppose, it was Archilochus: "The fox knows many things; the hedgehog one great thing."
Tetlock seems to have a slightly different interpretation to Berlin - (paraphrased from [1]) "hedgehogs have one grand theory; foxes are skeptical about grand theories".
[1] https://longnow.org/seminars/02007/jan/26/why-foxes-are-better-forecasters-than-hedgehogs/ https://longnow.org/seminars/02007/jan/26/why-foxes-are-bett...
- unhammer 5y agoI was immediately reminded of the fable of the Fox and the Cat (in which the Cat wins because following its one heuristic takes no time while the Fox has to deliberate to find the best of its many smart solutions – and the dogs are coming fast). Apparently the tales are related https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Fox_and_the_Cat_(fable)#The_Hedgehog_and_the_Fox https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Fox_and_the_Cat_(fable)#Th... (while Aesop's https://aesopsfables.org/F89_The-Fox-and-the-Hedgehog.html https://aesopsfables.org/F89_The-Fox-and-the-Hedgehog.html is completely unrelated, though also interesting!)