3 ms·
If the odds of an under happening is 50% then that is indeed a great bet! The odds of winning would be (0.5)^8 or 1 in 256. So the EV of the bet would be E(x)
by confidantlake 5y ago
If the odds of an under happening is 50% then that is indeed a great bet! The odds of winning would be (0.5)^8 or 1 in 256.
So the EV of the bet would be
E(x) = (1/256 * 1000) - (255/256 * 3)
E(x) = .91796875
So you are expected to make nearly 92 cents on every 3 dollars bet. Over a 30% return! Any bookie offering these odds would quickly go broke.
- nly 5y agoIn practice they'd simply flag you as a sharp and ban your account before you made them broke