4 ms·
Fancy methodology applied to numbers you pulled straight out of your ass is not insight.
by user-the-name 5y ago
Fancy methodology applied to numbers you pulled straight out of your ass is not insight.
- paol 5y agoI wouldn't have put it so rudely, but that was more or less my take as well.
- pantulis 5y agoOn the other hand, priors are only a matter of the subject. If there are aliens operating UFOs they want or not want to contact us. If they want to, what are they waiting for? If they don't want to, how come our technology can routinely spot their spacefaring machines? Are they that clumsy?
- hindsightbias 5y agoAliens trolling us could be a viable intention. Billion year old von-neumann probes probably get bored. Or perhaps alien societies are ideologically split and one sect wants to provoke a good or bad response from us per some agenda. Or we’re being subject to CentauriU’s Delta Tau Chi pledge week prank. And so far they’ve just been lucky and some complex conspiracy requiring they have a fuzzy polaroid filter on all our systems is not required.
- pentagone 5y ago> If there are aliens operating UFOs they want or not want to contact us. They also just couldn't care. > how come our technology can routinely spot their spacefaring machines? Does it?
- pantulis 5y ago> Does it? Supposedly ;)
- adrianN 5y agoApplying fancy methodology to numbers you make up helps you think about the numbers you make up. You go from "I don't believe UFOs are aliens" to a more refined opinion of "I don't believe UFOs are aliens because I don't believe X, Y, Z is very likely".
- user-the-name 5y agoThat's not what happened here though, is it.
- deleted 5y ago[deleted]