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> Each interceptor missile costs between $70,000–100,000, and an Iron Dome battery costs 50 Million. The Iron Domes effectiveness is ranged between 80-90%, whic
by bjourne 5y ago
> Each interceptor missile costs between $70,000–100,000, and an Iron Dome battery costs 50 Million. The Iron Domes effectiveness is ranged between 80-90%, which is literally unprecedented for an AD system. The standard rockets fired by Hamas and Hezbollah cost around 400-800 US Dollar per piece.
The effectiveness figure comes from the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) and has never been independently verified (the same goes for the other figures - even the guesstimates about what Hamas and Hezbollah rockets cost to manufacture). The IDF purports to measure successful intercepts per attempt. That is, if Hamas fires 20 rockets and Israel fires 10 interceptor missiles that destroys 9 rockets, then the calculated effectiveness is 90%. Despite the fact that 55% of the rockets fired were not destroyed.
According to the IDF, the ID only intercepts missiles headed towards built-up areas. And, also according to the IDF, Hamas fired some 4 500 rockets in the latest conflict of which 1 500 were headed towards built-up areas (the rest missed their targets). Of these the IDF claims that the ID shot down 90%. It's quite a lot and there are reason to believe that the statistic is BS. Primarily because relatively many Israelis were killed. This time Hamas killed 11 Israelis using about 4 500 rockets but during the 2014 war, it only killed 6 using roughly the same number of rockets. One would expect the number of casualties to decrease - not increase. Either Hamas is finding ways to mitigate the ID or the ID isn't very effective or both.
- dismantlethesun 5y agoOr the rockets are becoming more effective via larger payloads or better targeting towards more populated buildings. Or perhaps they got lucky, or more people were at home due to COVID. The US regularly kills 12+ people via single missile strikes. No reason Hamas can’t kill 12 with a hundred missile strikes.
- bjourne 5y agoCertainly it is possible. Though it would imply 10x improvement in Hamas's rocket technology and the evidence for that is scant. Perhaps, instead, the ID isn't that effective but that most Israelis have drunk their own Kool-aid and aren't running to shelters when the air raid sirens sound. Either way, there are reasons to be skeptical about the 90% figure.
- deleted 5y ago[deleted]