Most technology follows an S curve. It starts out slow with initial experimentation until most of the dead ends and pitfalls are eliminated, then there is a pe

Most technology follows an S curve. It starts out slow with initial experimentation until most of the dead ends and pitfalls are eliminated, then there is a period of rapid growth as the tech matures and gains mass market acceptance, then it levels off with all of the easy gains mined out and you see only incremental improvements moving forward. The middle part of the S curve is when you see the dumbest articles about the technology, with people extrapolating the growth linearly and talking about how it will rule the world in a few years.