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Maybe, but then the problem isn't an issue with AI/ML, it's that humans just suck at math. We're terrible at bayesian logic. Especially when it comes to medic
by aeternum 5y ago
Maybe, but then the problem isn't an issue with AI/ML, it's that humans just suck at math.
We're terrible at bayesian logic. Especially when it comes to medical tests, and doctors are very guilty of this also, we ignore priors and take what should just be a Bayes factor as the final truth.
- rscho 5y agoWe're terrible at bayesian logic all right, but still better than machines lacking most of the data picture. That's why the priority is not to push lab model efficiency but to push for policy changes that encourage sensible gathering of data. And that's _far_ more difficult than theorizing about model efficiency vs. humans.