I still have hope, because we have two different mentalities at play. The individual still thinks in terms of "I'm an above-average driver, I'm better than a s

I still have hope, because we have two different mentalities at play. The individual still thinks in terms of "I'm an above-average driver, I'm better than a silly bleep-bloop box." They'll resist self-driving en masse if it's not 1000% perfect. Insurers, however, will see self-drivers as predictable, never drunk, always following the speed limit, and in aggregate preferrable to humans. They will be able to see "3% better" as meaningful even if it's not perfect, and price accordingly. Eventually, you'll pay a rapidly increasing penalty rate for having a steering wheel. This is where the avalanche comes from. I also figure self-driving could unlock new features-- in particular I'm imagining the only way we get road speeds much over 120kph is self-driving, as the human response time becomes a limiting factor. And of course the in-dashboard wet bar. This will feed back into the consumer market even if it's only closed markets at first: why can't I go 250kph on the highways considering the self-driving airport shuttle does?