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I really like this idea and wish all project management tools included it by default. Fwiw Fogbugz has been using it for over a decade, called Evidence Based S

I really like this idea and wish all project management tools included it by default. Fwiw Fogbugz has been using it for over a decade, called Evidence Based Scheduling: - https://www.joelonsoftware.com/2007/10/26/evidence-based-scheduling/ https://www.joelonsoftware.com/2007/10/26/evidence-based-sch... - https://support.fogbugz.com/hc/en-us/articles/360011258994-Evidence-Based-Scheduling-EBS- https://support.fogbugz.com/hc/en-us/articles/360011258994-E... - https://blog.fogbugz.com/evidence-based-scheduling https://blog.fogbugz.com/evidence-based-scheduling There’s at least one Jira app for it: - https://github.com/handshake/pystradamus https://github.com/handshake/pystradamus And Trac also used to have EBS but I’m not sure if it still does, can’t find it atm: - https://trac.edgewall.org/ https://trac.edgewall.org/

diiq 5y ago
Vistimo (the full version at https://www.vistimo.com https://www.vistimo.com) does too. It turns out the project management space is full of neat tools with clever abilities, but it's very hard for a team to switch between those tools. It's expensive and time consuming! Vistimo Quotes is an attempt to pull just statistical estimation out on its own, so you can use it no matter what you use for your project management. (A note: this and EBS are pretty different in their actual math -- they just seem similar because the next closest thing is "everyone agrees on a single number per task and we add them up" which is so limiting that just having a statistical model puts EBS, 50/90, and monte-carlo into their own category.)
- BlueTemplar 5y ago
  Heh, that note is why I decided that "project management" was just a bunch of nonsense (like any other field using maths without taking uncertainty into account...)