> i.e. there isn't a school with 1,000,000 students and many small ones with 10 students each, and, even if that were the case, if all of the small 10-student s

> i.e. there isn't a school with 1,000,000 students and many small ones with 10 students each, and, even if that were the case, if all of the small 10-student schools make up for 10,000,000 students, the probability of an individual coming from the "big one" is only 10%. Come on, this is common sense. Not sure if it's common sense, but you are right, it is basic probability theory...if you assume that you are randomly distributed over those 11 million total students. But that if fundamentally is NOT a scientific IF, it's a philosophical one, in fact it's a unstated philosophical axiom that underlies tons of lines of reasoning on this subject. What if we are not randomly distributed amongst possible universes? After all, we are not even randomly distributed amongst all humans who have ever lived (100+ billion)--by definition we are only amongst survivors in the present. Cue the anthropic principle, which mops half of these stupid probability theories right out the door. We a.) have survivorship bias and b.) live in a universe that must, no matter how improbable the chain of events that leads up to this present moment, have been capable of and, indeed, did produce this present moment. Considering that our past is littered with extremely improbable survival events, that means we should not really expect that other places in the universe aren't full of stupidly improbable things too. What I am saying is that I actually do not believe we live in an average universe. In fact, we can't, because in most, we are dead! I also don't believe that we're randomly distributed over possible intelligent beings, because why aren't we Boltzman brains?