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You really trying to say it isn't the vaccine. When vaccine availability is the only positive thing that changed?
by ceph_ 5y ago
You really trying to say it isn't the vaccine. When vaccine availability is the only positive thing that changed?
- kapp_in_life 5y agoWe're also entering the summer months which I hazily remember somehow negatively impacting Covid-19's ability to spread last year.
- igetspam 5y agoI challenge your hazy memory with a "false." Late spring was when we started seeing infections. Summer being hot was what we were told would help. The data showed otherwise. As you've provided none of your own, I'll go ahead and do the same.
- Izkata 5y agoThere's a few states where the drop in the summer was really obvious, like Illinois and New York, and others that didn't spike until the fall, like Washington and Montana. Cases being low in the summer is common in the northern states, which is probably what GP is hazily remembering.
- kapp_in_life 5y agoAh that would be it, thanks!
- AuthorizedCust 5y agoIt spreads in the summer. Look at my plots (link above) for Texas’s summer surge. Was happening when I was a Boy Scout summer camp. Kind of weird to be in that communal environment at that time (albeit outdoors mainly, where spread is unusual).
- AuthorizedCust 5y agoNo. I’m saying our vaccination rate is far from herd-immunity levels and low enough that experts have pushed back the projected herd immunity date considerably. The other things are two large infection surges. Perhaps prevalence and/or power of natural immunity are higher than thought?