I think it's a bit like financial narket predictions. imagine a thousand traders making bets on the market, at least half of them are wrong and only a small per

I think it's a bit like financial narket predictions. imagine a thousand traders making bets on the market, at least half of them are wrong and only a small percentage do way better than average. Writing science fiction is also an act of prediction. There must have been a thousand authors who started out around the same level of success as PKD. Over time though, his prognostications were just so on point, so uncannily correct, that now we see him as the Warren Buffett of Science Fiction, someone with predictive skills that seem impossible to rack up to pure chance.