2 ms·
If there's a root cause to the misinformation problem, maybe it's a general growing disrespect for the expression of confidence levels. Stating speculation as
by infogulch 5y ago
If there's a root cause to the misinformation problem, maybe it's a general growing disrespect for the expression of confidence levels.
Stating speculation as fact. Ignoring that an idea is stated as speculation, and trashing their entire reputation for it. Getting excited for a result with only p ~ 0.05, and banding it about as known truth. Expressing an idea as something "everybody knows" but only being backed up by 2 exaggerated anecdotes from their friends. Degrading someone for carefully stating an idea so as to not be interpreted as saying something stronger than is reasonable to conclude. Etc etc etc
It's like nobody cares about the truth unless it's been exaggerated to a gross extreme. Maybe it's like a sensory adaptation caused by constant information overload. We've reached the limits of how much information humans can integrate, so we ignore everything below some significance threshold, so statements with a clearly stated but "mediocre" confidence level are either ignored entirely or forced to an unjustified strength just so they can be considered at all (with the predictable concequence of being treated as a liar if it turns out to be a mistake).