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But... you would. If all elderly people dropped dead right now, deaths per year would plummet for decades.
by klmadfejno 5y ago
But... you would. If all elderly people dropped dead right now, deaths per year would plummet for decades.
- phreeza 5y agoAnd your model would reflect that after the day all the old people died. So you wouldn't see any negative excess deaths (= actual deaths - predicted deaths). Otherwise you would see massive excess deaths from the baby boomers getting old for example, or negative excess deaths from the WW2 generation in places where many young people died.