> and examine temporary ICU statistics, because it is too difficult to tease out the impacts of COVID vs the impact of lockdown. It's actually quite easy. If

> and examine temporary ICU statistics, because it is too difficult to tease out the impacts of COVID vs the impact of lockdown. It's actually quite easy. If you look at the outbreak in the UK that started in November, you can see cases and hospital admissions rising rapidly before lockdown is imposed. Then in February, you can see cases falling rapidly while lockdown is still imposed. The cases and hospitalisations are related to Covid - they don't map well onto lockdown. In fact excess deaths became negative for a while a the end of the spike, with lockdown still in effect.