7 ms·
Yup they even stated this statistic but miss its significance: > the number of software developers aged 55 to 64 years increased from 87,000 (8.3%) in 2011 to
by topkai22 5y ago
Yup they even stated this statistic but miss its significance:
> the number of software developers aged 55 to 64 years increased from 87,000 (8.3%) in 2011 to 195,000 (10.7%) in 2019 in the USA.
The number of older software developers MORE THAN DOUBLED in 8 years in absolute numbers, but only increased by 25% in relative terms. That strongly indicates that existing developers weren't pushed out, they just were swamped by new entrants.
There is definitely some drop off around middle age- in 2011 there were 529,000 working "programmers" (computer programmers, software engineers and web developers) in the USA between 35-44. In 2020, there were 400,000. That means about 1 in 4 left the profession (probably more like 1 in 3 to account for new entrants). But that means the vast majority of people programming between 35-44 were still classifying themselves as programmers 10 years later. The drop off from 45-54 to 55-65 was even shallower at 13%.
So the data suggest that despite the mid-age drop off most programmers seem to stay programmers most of their career. I'd expect that many of those exiting "programming" as an occupation are transitioning to management, technical sales, or closely related professions as well, but it wouldn't show up in the data I looked at.
Given that I, being in that 35-44 cohort, am not going to worry to much about how to stay in the profession. I just may ask myself if there is something else I'd like to do as a 2nd act.
Edit- sources:
2011 US CPS- https://www.bls.gov/cps/aa2011/cpsaat11b.htm https://www.bls.gov/cps/aa2011/cpsaat11b.htm
2020 US CPS- https://www.bls.gov/cps/cpsaat11b.htm https://www.bls.gov/cps/cpsaat11b.htm
- masonic 5y agothe number of software developers aged 55 to 64 years increased from 87,000 (8.3%) in 2011 to 195,000 (10.7%) in 2019 in the USA. But given how much the overall pool has grown, that isn't the relevant stat. The relevant stat is how many developers aged 45 to 54 in 2011 are STILL EMPLOYED in the field? That's where you see the ageism. In other industries, not that many people voluntarily abandon a career path at 45 for another industry.