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> Based on the assumptions built into our computer models, our models suggest … That's how science often works, yes. I'd wager most people are aware of that an
by hh3k0 5y ago
> Based on the assumptions built into our computer models, our models suggest …
That's how science often works, yes. I'd wager most people are aware of that and won't expect a prophecy when confronted with such headlines.
- tryonenow 5y agoYou'd be overestimating the average person's ability. Laypeople know virtually nothing about computational modeling. I can't find the famous quote, but it is dangerous to consume such research uncritically because with enough degrees of freedom you can model virtually anything while also backfitting your ground truth. And these models are almost always composed of numerous nonlinear parameters which may be adjusted within wide ranges, individually seemingly reasonable, but with potentially nonsensical and/or trivially biasable results.