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It's easy to accept that explanation because it logically follows, but it requires you to make extreme assumptions (the lab's competence/honesty stats approach
by remarkEon 5y ago
It's easy to accept that explanation because it logically follows, but it requires you to make extreme assumptions (the lab's competence/honesty stats approach 100%), which he seems prepared to do. But it's hard for me to apply those kinds of assumptions to a CCP organization, for reasons that should be quite obvious. That WIV is still refusing to allow outside investigators should cause one to adjust their priors on that competence/honesty spectrum.
- mikem170 5y agoTrue. I gave a lot more weight to the genetic evidence, the 1200 mutations from the nearest related bat virus, the receptor optimized for multiple species, evidence it was first seen in humans hundreds of miles form Wuhan, etc.